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How often do contingent offers fall through?

The likelihood of contingent offers falling through can vary depending on various factors, including market conditions, the specific terms of the offer, and the diligence of the parties involved. Contingent offers are common in real estate transactions, particularly when buyers need to sell their current home before purchasing a new one. Here are some factors that can affect the likelihood of contingent offers falling through:

  1. Market conditions: In a competitive seller’s market where inventory is low and demand is high, contingent offers may be less attractive to sellers, increasing the risk of them falling through. Conversely, in a buyer’s market with more inventory and less competition, sellers may be more willing to accept contingent offers.
  2. Contingency timelines: The length of time allowed for contingencies to be satisfied can impact the likelihood of the offer falling through. Shorter contingency periods may indicate a more motivated buyer and decrease the risk of the offer being withdrawn.
  3. Financing contingencies: Contingent offers that are dependent on the buyer securing financing can be at risk of falling through if the buyer’s financing falls through or if the appraisal comes in lower than expected.
  4. Home sale contingencies: Offers contingent on the sale of the buyer’s current home are inherently riskier, as the sale of the buyer’s home must occur before they can purchase the new property. Delays or complications with the sale of the buyer’s home can increase the likelihood of the offer falling through.
  5. Inspection contingencies: Contingent offers typically include an inspection contingency, allowing the buyer to conduct a home inspection and potentially renegotiate or withdraw their offer based on the inspection findings. Issues discovered during the inspection process can lead to the offer falling through if they cannot be resolved to the satisfaction of both parties.
  6. Negotiation and communication: Effective negotiation and communication between the buyer and seller, as well as their respective real estate agents, can help mitigate the risk of the offer falling through. Clear communication and a willingness to address concerns and find solutions can increase the likelihood of a successful transaction.

While it’s difficult to determine an exact percentage of contingent offers that fall through, it’s essential for both buyers and sellers to carefully consider the terms and conditions of the offer and work with experienced real estate professionals to navigate the transaction successfully. Additionally, having contingency plans in place and being prepared for potential challenges can help mitigate the risk of the offer falling through.

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